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Is John McCain Going to Sweep the Election?

Politico interviewed a bunch of top Republican strategists, who believe that John McCain might just be the man to deliver a significant upset this November.

The article explains:

But the contours of the electoral map, combined with McCain’s unique strengths and the nature of Obama’s possible vulnerabilities, have led to a cautious and muted optimism that McCain could actually surpass Bush’s 35-electoral-vote victory in 2004. Though they expect he would finish far closer to Obama in the popular vote, the thinking is that he could win by as many 50 electoral votes.

The strategists admit that a President McCain probably wouldn't have a Republican majority in Congress to work with, as the parties Congressional prospects are pretty dire. But, that might not lead to a national stand-still, since McCain has worked with many Democratic colleagues during his tenure.

The consulted strategists credit McCain's strengths and some of Obama's weakness, for example: McCain’s strength among independents and "Obama’s weakness in culture, ideology and association." They think McCain's reputation transcends the bruised Republican brand.

From where you're sitting, how likely does a McCain blowout look?

Source

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Great-Sommelier Great-Sommelier 8 years
True True True. :ponder:
Jillness Jillness 8 years
I think that the biggest issue with the 1 day primary is that the US, geographically, is very spread out and veeeeery large. To get to all of the clusters of people in it, you have to travel to a lot of out of the way places. To expect newcomers to get in and not get lost in name recognition, you would still have to allow months and months of campaigning before the primary date could actually occur. It is interesting thought, though. I am pretty tired from this long season!
hausfrau hausfrau 8 years
Ahhh the tin foil hat crowd -- my fav!! And I tend to agree about a national primary day, HOWEVER, imagine if that day were back in Sept or something, before the Rev. Wright stuff came out, before the "sniper fire" comment.... I can't think of anything bad that came out from McCain (but I'm sure Jill can ;)) So while I tend to agree with a 1 day winner take all, one benefit of the process is the time spent by the candidate in the limelight to allow the skeletons to come out.
Jillness Jillness 8 years
Hey now... It was MCCAIN that called it an "oil war", folks. It is hard to keep straight, I know! ;)
Great-Sommelier Great-Sommelier 8 years
Sarah :rotfl: And Cine amen to everything you said. :woohoo: And Dave, I think that one national primary day not only makes the most sense, but could potentially save millions of dollars.
sarah_bellum sarah_bellum 8 years
Dammit, cine_lover. How dare you impugn the tinfoil-hat wearing perpetual victims? Everyone knows they have no responsibility for anything and that Bush is out to get them so his oil war can go on for a hundred years. That's why he keeps tracks of them with the help of the On Star on their vehicles.
cine_lover cine_lover 8 years
And if the Republicans get the blame for recessions, does Bush get credit for setting Clinton up for an economic boom? And wouldn't Clinton have to take some blame for our current state of economics since much of what he implemented caused our situation? Just a thought.
cine_lover cine_lover 8 years
I still find it hilarious that people blame the recession on Republican presidents, but don't factor in anything else that the general population did during those years to account for an economic down turn. It makes me chuckle. I mean why take responsibility when we can blame the government for all that is wrong?
cine_lover cine_lover 8 years
I would not get too pumped yet Jill, when the debates begin who knows what will happen. :mob: :pucca:
Jillness Jillness 8 years
That does make sense, Undave! I just read that Obama has a big lead over McCain in formerly red Iowa! :kool:
UnDave35 UnDave35 8 years
There was one candidate by the time WI voted, and we voted early April. I think the nomination process needs to be revamped for both parties. We should have a national primary on one day for all states. That way everyone can vote for the candidate they want, and not the best alternative.
Jillness Jillness 8 years
"we only have one candidate- why bother." That wasn't true for the majority of the primaries. Even Romney was still in it, there was low turn out.
Jillness Jillness 8 years
The President has to set out goal and agendas for those bodies to focus on. It is not a coincidence that our country has gone into recession at the end of 8 years of Republican rule the past 2 times. Taxes and regulation of banks do change with the attitude of the President. Secondly, there have been many successful Presidents that didn't haev that much "traditional" experience. So far, there is not a magic equasion that gives us a great President. McCain has a lot of experience, but that still doesn't stop him from supporting foolish ideas like the Gas Tax Holiday. He has a long history, but not of being correct. He is far from "moderate". He has changed positions many times in the past, but right now his platform is completely conservative.
hausfrau hausfrau 8 years
" that's simply not in the power of the President. It's a combo of the Senate, House, State government, Fed Chief and American and International Business." AMEN!!!!
xoxoandrea xoxoandrea 8 years
of course the democratic turn out doubled the republican turn out, we only have one candidate- why bother. Most of us republicans voted for the democrat we thought McCain could beat. :) Obama. So I wonder what polls are taking that into account.
tigerbabee tigerbabee 8 years
Barack Obama should come back in 8 years. Charismatic Guy, but you can't overcome the lack of experience. He is a great speaker, but our President needs to be able to do more than give great speeches. If he really loves this country, even HE should know he is not ready. He is a smart guy, and I believe in his heart he knows he is not ready. Hilary would be a decent option - experience is there, and she definetly has the passion. Unfortunetly, Universal Healthcare does not work - look at Canada. Her husband is also a strange factor. First Man? McCain is the best choice - experience, he is a moderate, and as a war hero, he loves this nation. I think he is what we need. As a moderate, he can heal this nation, and he is smart enough to know he needs to work with the democrats. He is not a perfect candidate, but he is the best choice. I encourage people to remember that NO CANDIDATE can fix the economy or the mortgage crisis. Obama always pretends he can - that's simply not in the power of the President. It's a combo of the Senate, House, State government, Fed Chief and American and International Business.
Great-Sommelier Great-Sommelier 8 years
Hello Obama fans! :wave: Could some of you read some of my blogs and tell us what you think? Several of us are genuinely curious as to an Obama supporters opinions on them.
Beauty Beauty 8 years
Of course the Republicans are going to predict a McCain blowout. I'm sure the Dems would do the same for Obama. Ah, politics.
UnDave35 UnDave35 8 years
I think the turn out for primaries is deceiving. There hasn't been a lot of turn out for Republicans in recent nominations because McCain has already won the nomination. It would be unwise to think that just because teice as many Democrats have come out, doesn't mean the same ratio will occur in the general elections.
cine_lover cine_lover 8 years
I think it is dangerous to say wither party is a definite win. It is going to be a tight race, and should be a really great election to watch. Lain, at first I was not going to vote for him, but I changed my mind. I decided I would rather have McCain then Obama or Hilary, and a lot of my Conservative friends have come to feel the same way.
Cassandra57 Cassandra57 8 years
They didn't even ask regular people, but "top strategists". Boy, that's a pointless story! I think they really don't understand how many people who would vote Republican are alienated by McCain. If I vote for him, it will be with my nose held, mostly due to his immigration stance. I wonder how many conservatives will stay home or vote third-party. Jill: I think Obama's oratorical skill has inspired a lot of Democrats, especially younger ones, to turn out to vote. However, by November, the novelty may have worn off. Frankly, I think the outcome of the general election will depend largely on how safe the voters feel from terrorist attacks and how well the situation in Iraq is going. That will make it difficult to predict in advance.
Jillness Jillness 8 years
Whatever happened to the "Gas Tax Holiday" that he came out for a couple months ago? Does he usually just drop policy ideas that don't poll well?
j2e1n9 j2e1n9 8 years
I've always thought/(known?) he will win, but we shall see! :sneaky-evil:
Jillness Jillness 8 years
The fact that in many primaries, the number of democrats voting for Hillary and Barack doubled the Republican turn out also says a lot to me. Obama's campaign has really upped the participation factor, and it is kind of hard to predict how it will effect the general.
yesteryear yesteryear 8 years
i just don't see this happening. call me naive but i'm feeling very hopeful that all of the people who are energized and inspired by obama will really hard this fall to get out the vote. i will be one of them. to me it seems like john mccain has ended up where he is by default. there is no question that this is one of the most important elections we've had in a generation - so why didn't the republican party work harder to find someone a little more exciting? i mean, we are in a war that a majority of americans disagree with and they choose a candidate who is mainly known for being a war hero? it doesn't make sense.
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