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Out With the Old? Russian Professor Predicts US Collapse

A Russian professor who's been predicting the end of the US for years is starting to get attention. His argument? Immigration, the economy, moral degradation (whaa?) will trigger a civil war and the eventual breakup of the US. Oh, and he says there's a 45-55 percent chance this will happen by next year.

Maybe his timing is dubious, but the argument that's been disregarded for years in Russia is starting to be taken seriously. At least if you consider the state-run Russian media, where it's been getting considerable coverage, serious.

So if the US is breaking up, where will we live? To find out,


  • California Republic: Formed by the Western states, this area would be controlled by China or be under Chinese influence
  • Texas Republic: A cluster of states in the Southwest would go to Mexico.
  • Atlantic America: Eastern states, from South Carolina to Maine, will join the European Union.
  • Central North American Republic: Northern Midwest and Great Plain states will go to Canada.
  • Hawaii: The state will become a territory of China or Japan.
  • Alaska: Putin will rear his head into Alaskan air space, making Russia the proud new owner of the great state of Alaska.

It's easy to laugh this off, until we're reminded that the French political scientist was met with laughter when he predicted the Soviet Union's collapse 15 years before it. Happy New Year!

Join The Conversation
organicsugr organicsugr 8 years
West Virginia and Tennessee are going to join the European Union? Dosen't sound right. Anyone with rudimentary information about communism could predict the fall of the USSR. Not impressed.
Jude-C Jude-C 8 years
The breakup of America? Oy. I do see big changes coming, but I don't think a natural shift in power, policy, or position has to necessarily translate into "total collapse of everything."
ilanac13 ilanac13 8 years
well coming out of college i always said that i wanted to work for the EU, and now i'll be living in an area that's going to be part of it :) you have to wonder how people come up with these things though. seriously- it's so outlandish!
Captivate Captivate 8 years
It's an interesting and amusing theory. I like it. Though I think people are taking the whole 'become part of another nation' too seriously. It's probable that during a civil war, other nations would support the team the like best, and a region during warfare accepts help readily. However, American idealogy is way too prideful to do anything more than accept support during warfare and then set up their own small nations later. And it is quite impressive how this guy predicted the Soviet collaspe way before it came down. I don't think he should be jested at so harshly when history has shown politics to be so unstable. I think another one of many causes would also be the divide between liberals and conservatives, socio economic class levels, urban citizens and country citizens, etc. This could happen in the next few decades, and the US might be better for it. We have so many different regions with different interests. Dividing up our governance might help policies better represent what each area needs and wants. The whole state laws vs federal laws conflict has been a problem since the start.
SKC-Sparkle SKC-Sparkle 8 years
I love how worked up people are about this. I think it is an interesting theory - especially since this is the guy that predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union!
StolzeMama StolzeMama 8 years
Yeah this guy, def. nuts. Whether or not we have a civil war is debatable, since there have been several who have guessed such. But making every part of the united states to be part or another country?? What??? And citizen, moral degradation is a hot button issue and I truly believe it could cause a civil was or request for secession, just not in the way this professor has depicted.
UnDave35 UnDave35 8 years
I have seen people pissed off over money. It's not the government that is to blame for our financial mess (completely), so I can't imagine how people would want to secede. I understand why the USSR fell apart, and that was because the government bankrupted the nation, combined with a desire by the people to control their own financial destiny. Communism died with that collapse for those people.
hypnoticmix hypnoticmix 8 years
"Why does anyone think a financial crisis would cause the US to split?" Have you seen people pissed off over money before UnDave? I don't think that (a) crisis will cause a government collapse either. However, if you look at other countries where economic turmoil has become the norm some of those populations have taken matters into their own hands.
laceymace laceymace 8 years
This is laughable
robinlh912 robinlh912 8 years
This will make international travel much more reasonable for me! Score! Going to Mexico for spring break will require getting through Il. and Mo. haha! And yay for suddenly being Canadian!
UnDave35 UnDave35 8 years
This guy is certifiable. Why does anyone think a financial crisis would cause the US to split? Maybe if we were all socialists to begin with, oh wait....
verily verily 8 years
Texas to Mexico? How patently absurd... We'd be our own Republic again, darnit!
brookrene brookrene 8 years
The texas one made me laugh too. This professor is a piece of work :oy:
krae85 krae85 8 years
yeah... That'll happen.
Jane26 Jane26 8 years
Haha Massachusetts and the Carolinas on the same side in a Civil War???? It didn't happen the first time, and I doubt it would ever happen. Oh silly professor.
Great-Sommelier Great-Sommelier 8 years
The Texas one makes me laugh. There would be war before some of these Texans would accept Mexican rule of any kind.
Myst Myst 8 years
I came in here for the lulz.
hmcmcd hmcmcd 8 years
huh. This is ridiculous. I don't see Floridians feeling especially close to those in Alabama. Enough so to say "Hey let's form our own country down here with Georgia and OK, LA etc." I think the main point he forgot that would make this seperatist map unbelievable is migration. The fact that we Americans are always moving from one state to the next.And usually it is out of the region all together. From the south the west or from the west to the NE. He is wishful thinking.
beavis667 beavis667 8 years
This would more likely split along terms of red state/blue state IMO.
popgoestheworld popgoestheworld 8 years
If we're talking payback, I'd rather see the Native Americans get their land back.
hypnoticmix hypnoticmix 8 years
I believe the chance for a strong government disruption sometime in this century is possible, but unlikely. If it does come to blows I think like so many times before we will skirt dangers blade and gather our ignorance as quickly as it spilled out.
MarinerMandy MarinerMandy 8 years
Why would the different factions of the US join another country? Wouldn't we just form our own? I don't think this guy understands American mentality at all. If any invader came over here, the entire country would band together to get them out. I can possibly see a break up of the country down the line a while, but this scenario makes no sense whatsoever.
starangel82 starangel82 8 years
mydiadem - I guess they'd just have to change their citizenships to retire. That's gonna be a b*tch. :)
starangel82 starangel82 8 years
Oh... and not to mention I'd need to brush up (learn) Spanish.
MSucre MSucre 8 years
And how does he define moral degradation? This guys is a state professor? What a joke!
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