Why he'll win: The two don't spend a lot of time together, but when they do, they seem like they're on the same page. There also seems to be a healthy balance between physical and emotional attraction. Now that the guys are dwindling down, maybe there will be more hope for him.
Why he won't: He pretty much checks every box off the list, but he still doesn't seem to be bringing it as much as the two front runners. If he doesn't step it up, then he could go home.