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Jonathan and Nancy have been the "stable" couple for a couple of years, but that has all changed with the Byers family moving across the country. The couple don't even share any screen time in the first volume of season four, and they both vent to their friends about the stress of long distance. Those signs (plus Nancy sharing a few moments with Steve) would seem to point toward an impending breakup. With that being said, they still clearly love each other a lot, and Nancy's moments with Steve could be a red herring.
It seems pretty likely that a breakup of some kind is in their future, but whether or not they actually manage to stay apart in the long term, or if they reunite in season five, is the bigger question.